Supercomputer Predicts Full 2025-26 Premier League Table After Opening Weekend
With the first round of the 2025-26 Premier League completed, a Supercomputer has delivered its forecast for the final league standings. While Manchester City were tipped by most to dominate again last season, it was Liverpool – under new head coach Arne Slot – who cruised to their 20th league title, restoring their place as England’s most decorated club.
Arsenal’s runners-up finish came as no surprise, marking their third straight season in second place. Meanwhile, City’s strong late-season form helped them salvage third. Elsewhere, Nottingham Forest stunned fans with a European qualification spot, while Tottenham and Manchester United endured historically poor league campaigns since the league’s 1992 rebrand.
Those storylines are still fresh, but with a new season underway, anticipation is already mounting. The updated predictions—powered by a Supercomputer and Plejmo’s data simulations—consider the full fixture list and opening-weekend insights. Here’s a breakdown of the projected table for the 2025-26 campaign.
Relegation Battle
There may finally be a break from a recent pattern at the bottom. In both 2023/24 and 2024/25, all newly promoted teams were immediately relegated. This year, however, the forecast gives hope to Sunderland and Leeds United—both of whom kicked off with impressive wins—suggesting they’ll stay afloat.
The newly promoted trio are expected to put up more resistance compared to last season’s struggles. Burnley, while still predicted to go down in 19th, are projected to finish with 12 more points than Southampton managed the previous year. Sunderland are tipped to finish 17th with 33 points, narrowly surviving over Wolves on goal difference. Leeds look even safer, predicted to land in 15th with a comfortable 40 points.
On the flip side, West Ham are forecast to finish dead last following their dismal loss to Sunderland, who netted three second-half goals to cap off their summer overhaul. Fulham, despite drawing 1-1 with Brighton courtesy of Rodrigo Muniz’s late goal, are expected to land 16th—still a bit too close to danger for fans’ liking.
Predicted Relegation Zone:
Position Club Points
15 Leeds United 40
16 Fulham 36
17 Sunderland 33
18 Wolverhampton Wanderers 33
19 Burnley 28
20 West Ham 25
Lower Mid-Table
Bournemouth, who just missed out on European football with a ninth-place finish last term under Andoni Iraola, are projected to slip to 13th. Brentford, under new manager Keith Andrews following the exits of Thomas Frank and Bryan Mbeumo, are expected to regress significantly—dropping to 14th and losing 14 points compared to last season.
Tottenham, coming off a lowly 17th place finish, are forecast to bounce back slightly to 11th, with new arrival Mohammed Kudus already making an impact. Everton, rejuvenated by a new stadium, American ownership, and marquee signing Jack Grealish, entered the season with promise—but are only expected to finish 12th, making for a rather underwhelming outcome despite their ambitious rebuild.
Predicted Bottom Half:
Position Club Points
11 Tottenham 50
12 Everton 48
13 Bournemouth 48
14 Brentford 42
Upper Mid-Table
Brighton, like several of their mid-table peers, are projected to slide slightly—down two spots to 10th. Young manager Fabian Hürzeler and new additions Maxim De Cuyper and Charalampos Kostoulas may help steady the ship.
Nottingham Forest, last season’s surprise package, are tipped to finish ninth again, maintaining momentum thanks to key squad retention and the signing of Dan Ndoye. Crystal Palace, buoyed by recent FA Cup and Community Shield wins, are predicted to climb to eighth. Keeping stars like Marc Guehi and Eberechi Eze could be pivotal to their continued success.
Manchester United manager Ruben Amorim is under pressure after a disappointing season, but the club is projected to improve—finishing seventh with 16 more points than last year. Chelsea, buoyed by fan optimism, are forecast to just miss out on the top four in sixth under Todd Boehly’s ownership.
Despite uncertainty around Alexander Isak’s future, Newcastle are tipped for fifth place and could still reach the Champions League depending on England’s UEFA coefficient. Anthony Elanga and Yoane Wissa are expected to step up in the Swede’s potential absence.
Predicted Top Half (5th–10th):
Position Club Points
5 Newcastle United 68
6 Chelsea 62
7 Manchester United 58
8 Crystal Palace 58
9 Nottingham Forest 54
10 Brighton 54
The Top Four
The Supercomputer does not foresee Liverpool defending their title, despite their dominant form last season. Manchester City are pegged to reclaim the Premier League crown, potentially marking Pep Guardiola’s final act in charge.
Despite high-profile additions like Jeremie Frimpong, Florian Wirtz, and Milos Kerkez, Liverpool’s upgrades may not be enough. Even potential late signings like Isak or Guehi are unlikely to tip the balance, with the Reds predicted to finish third.
Arsenal are expected to narrowly miss out on the title once more—this time losing to City only on goal difference, a big improvement on the 10-point gap behind Liverpool in the previous campaign. However, this fine margin may not be enough to satisfy Mikel Arteta if Viktor Gyökeres doesn’t deliver the goals.
Aston Villa round out the top four. With no major departures and a relatively quiet summer window, Unai Emery’s squad is projected to finish fourth, securing a Champions League spot with 72 points.
Predicted Top Four:
Position Club Points
1 Manchester City 86
2 Arsenal 86
3 Liverpool 80
4 Aston Villa 72
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