Liverpool are now six points ahead at the top of the Premier League table, having suffered just one defeat this season, and appear to be favorites to claim their first title since 2020. This comes as Arsenal drop more points in the race for the championship.
A Premier League supercomputer has strongly favored Liverpool, predicting that they will surpass Arsenal by 10 points to win the title. This weekend was especially favorable for the Reds, as they secured a 2-0 victory over Brentford, with Darwin Nunez scoring both goals, while Arsenal settled for a 2-2 draw against Aston Villa.
With just one loss in the league this season, Liverpool are in a strong position, six points ahead, and look set to capture their first Premier League title since 2020.
Arsenal, who have been contenders for the title in the past three seasons but have fallen short in their battles with Manchester City, now appear to be in danger of being overtaken by Liverpool.
Betting Expert’s supercomputer, BETSiE, predicts that Liverpool will comfortably win the title with a 10-point lead, forecasting the Reds will finish with 85.8 points, while Arsenal are expected to end with 75.6 points. BETSiE also calculates the chances of each team winning the league, giving Liverpool a 92% chance of success, compared to Arsenal’s slim 7.3%. The model predicts Liverpool will win 25.9 games and lose just four, while Arsenal will win 21.3 games, lose five, and draw 11. Chelsea are projected to finish third, and Manchester City in fourth, with a nine-point gap separating Arsenal and Chelsea.
In terms of relegation, Ipswich, Leicester, and Southampton are expected to go down, while Manchester United and Tottenham are predicted to finish 11th and 12th, respectively. Nottingham Forest and Newcastle are set to claim Europa League spots.
Liverpool’s next match is at home against Ipswich, following their Champions League match against Lille, while Arsenal will travel to Wolves after hosting Dinamo Zagreb in Europe.
Despite being heavily favored to win the title in his first season, Liverpool manager Arne Slot has acknowledged the growing difficulty in converting chances into goals. After their narrow win over Brentford, Slot noted, “It’s becoming harder for us to convert our chances into goals, and that’s not only because of us—teams are putting themselves in front of every ball. Many teams are trying to prevent us from scoring by sitting in a low block.”
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