Bukayo Saka and Ben White are back in training as Arsenal prepare for their Carabao Cup semi-final clash against Newcastle.

Arsenal delivered a dominant 5-1 victory over Manchester City on Sunday, making a strong statement to Premier League leaders Liverpool. This emphatic win reaffirmed the Gunners’ status as serious title contenders.

For Mikel Arteta’s side, it was a crucial result in their pursuit of the championship, significantly denting Manchester City’s slim hopes of re-entering the race. However, despite their impressive performance, Arsenal still face a challenging road ahead in their quest for the title.

Sunday’s display was one of the most outstanding under Arteta, highlighting their ability to string together wins—similar to last season’s resurgence after a 3-1 victory over Liverpool.

Nevertheless, Liverpool remain firmly in control at the top. Opta’s supercomputer reinforces this, indicating Arsenal’s chances of winning the title are still low despite their big win.

Following their 2-0 triumph over Bournemouth, Liverpool have successfully navigated three tough away fixtures without a loss. According to Opta, they have a 90.74% probability of winning the Premier League, with a projected total of 88.4 points. Arsenal, in contrast, are expected to finish with 79.82 points, giving them just a 9.18% title chance.

Beyond Arsenal and Liverpool, only three other teams—Manchester City, Nottingham Forest, and Chelsea—have a mathematical chance of winning the league, though their odds are minimal. City, facing their lowest points total under Pep Guardiola, are still expected to secure a top-four finish alongside surprise contenders Nottingham Forest.

Meanwhile, Chelsea’s hopes of Champions League qualification rely on their coefficient ranking, with a predicted fifth-place finish.

In the mid-table, little change is expected. Manchester United and Tottenham are both set for disappointing seasons—United are projected to finish with 47.65 points, their lowest-ever Premier League total, while Spurs are expected to slightly surpass their 46-point tally from the 2007/08 season. West Ham, under Graham Potter, are predicted to struggle, finishing 15th.

At the bottom, Wolves boosted their survival chances with a 2-0 win over Aston Villa, lowering their relegation probability to 18.41%. Ipswich, despite a 2-1 defeat to Southampton, now have better odds of staying up than Leicester City, who are expected to finish 18th with only a 10.9% chance of survival.