After the opening nine gameweeks of the 2025–26 Premier League season, the Supercomputer has revised its forecast for the final table. Last season, many expected Manchester City to reign supreme again, but it was Liverpool — led by new boss Arne Slot — who cruised to their 20th English league title, reclaiming their status as the nation’s most successful club.
Few were surprised to see Arsenal take second place for the third consecutive year, while City’s late-season surge secured them third. Nottingham Forest’s unexpected push for Europe was another major storyline, as Tottenham and Manchester United endured historically poor campaigns in the Premier League era.
But football moves fast — and fresh simulations are already in. Using data from 247Bet, the Supercomputer has analyzed the fixture list and early-season form to predict how this campaign will unfold. Here’s a look at who’s tipped to thrive, who’s expected to struggle, and who might face the drop.
Relegation Zone
For the first time in three years, all three promoted sides — Sunderland, Burnley, and Leeds United — are predicted to survive. Burnley (17th) and Leeds (16th) are expected to hover just above danger, while Sunderland’s stunning start could see them finish an impressive 10th, far exceeding expectations.
West Ham, meanwhile, are forecast to finish bottom with only 26 points. The post-Graham Potter era has not gone well under Nuno Espírito Santo, and relegation looks inevitable. Fulham’s projected 15th-place finish marks a slight decline from last season, suggesting they continue to stagnate while other London clubs push ahead — though West Ham’s struggles offer some relief.
Wolves are also in serious trouble. Still winless after nine matches, they’re tipped for relegation in 63% of the Supercomputer’s 10,000 simulations.
Just three points are projected to separate Burnley in 17th and Nottingham Forest in 18th — setting up a relegation dogfight likely to go to the wire. Forest’s gamble to sack Nuno has backfired spectacularly. Ange Postecoglou’s short reign brought no wins in eight matches, including a 3–2 League Cup defeat to Swansea after leading 2–0. Now under Sean Dyche, Forest face an uphill battle to avoid the drop after their European exploits just a season ago.
Predicted bottom six:
15. Fulham – 40 pts
16. Leeds United – 34 pts
17. Burnley – 33 pts
18. Nottingham Forest – 30 pts
19. Wolves – 27 pts
20. West Ham – 26 pts
Bottom Half
Brentford are forecast to finish 14th on 42 points — a fair outcome considering the club’s transitional phase.
Everton, buoyed by new ownership, a new stadium, and summer arrivals including Jack Grealish, were viewed as potential dark horses. Yet the Supercomputer predicts a modest 13th-place finish. Despite a string of tough defeats to top sides, David Moyes’ men have shown promise, notably ending Crystal Palace’s 19-game unbeaten run.
Palace themselves are projected to end 11th on 50 points, just ahead of Brighton (12th, 48 pts). For Brighton, that would represent a dip after last season’s eighth-place finish; for Palace, it’s steady mid-table consistency.
Predicted 11th–14th:
11. Crystal Palace – 50 pts
12. Brighton – 48 pts
13. Everton – 47 pts
14. Brentford – 42 pts
Top Half
Newly promoted Sunderland have been the surprise package of the season, sitting on 17 points after nine games and projected to finish 10th. Their blend of young talent and experienced players like Granit Xhaka has paid off handsomely.
Newcastle United, by contrast, have slumped from fifth to a predicted ninth, with injuries and inconsistent form taking their toll. The loss of Alexander Isak and unreliable performances from new signings have hurt their European hopes.
Bournemouth continue to rise under Andoni Iraola. After narrowly missing Europe last year, they’re tipped for eighth this season. Two points ahead, Aston Villa are projected to finish seventh — a dip in European positioning but a testament to their resilience after a shaky start.
Chelsea, fresh from their Club World Cup triumph, were expected to mount a title challenge. Instead, fatigue, injuries, and discipline issues have derailed their progress. A sixth-place finish may raise questions about Enzo Maresca’s future given the club’s heavy investment.
Manchester United, revitalized under Ruben Amorim, are predicted to finish fifth — a remarkable 10-place improvement from last season. Wins over Liverpool and three straight league victories suggest the tide may be turning at Old Trafford.
Predicted 5th–10th:
5. Manchester United – 65 pts
6. Chelsea – 63 pts
7. Aston Villa – 62 pts
8. Bournemouth – 60 pts
9. Newcastle United – 59 pts
10. Sunderland – 52 pts
Top Four
Liverpool’s massive summer spending — bringing in Florian Wirtz, Alexander Isak, and Jeremie Frimpong, among others — isn’t expected to yield another title. The Supercomputer projects them to finish fourth on 72 points, a full 17 points off the top. A string of four straight league defeats has highlighted worrying flaws in Arne Slot’s system, though Champions League qualification should soften the blow.
Tottenham’s revival continues under new leadership, with a third-place finish predicted — a huge turnaround from last season’s 17th. New signings Mohammed Kudus and João Palhinha have been instrumental in their resurgence.
Manchester City are projected runners-up again, extending their frustrating streak. Despite Erling Haaland’s hot form, inconsistencies remain, with shock defeats still undermining their campaign.
Finally, Arsenal are tipped to end their 20-year title drought. Conceding just three goals in nine games, Mikel Arteta’s side are predicted to win the Premier League with 89 points — 13 clear of City. Patience has finally paid off, and a new era of dominance may be dawning in North London.
Predicted Top Four:
1. Arsenal – 89 pts
2. Manchester City – 76 pts
3. Tottenham Hotspur – 74 pts
4. Liverpool – 72 pts
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