After the opening eight gameweeks of the 2025/26 Premier League season, the Supercomputer has updated its forecast for the final standings. Last season, many expected Manchester City to dominate again, but it was Liverpool — led by new boss Arne Slot — who stormed to their 20th league title, reclaiming their place as England’s most decorated club. Arsenal, meanwhile, finished runners-up for the third straight campaign, while City managed to salvage third with a strong finish. Nottingham Forest’s shock European qualification and poor seasons from Tottenham and Manchester United were among the standout stories of 2024/25.

But as always, football moves fast, and the Supercomputer (in partnership with AceOdds) has now simulated the entire 2025/26 campaign using the current fixture list and early-season trends to predict how things will unfold.

Relegation Battle

After back-to-back seasons in which all three promoted teams went straight back down, that streak looks set to end. Leeds United and Sunderland are both expected to survive, though Sunderland — currently flying high in seventh after eight games — are predicted to endure a major dip and barely avoid the drop.

At the bottom, Burnley are tipped to finish 20th, while Wolves are forecast to end 19th after failing to win any of their opening eight matches. West Ham, who replaced Graham Potter with Nuno Espirito Santo, are projected to collect just 40 points and go down in 18th.

Only seven points are expected to separate Burnley in last from Nottingham Forest in 15th, hinting at a tense relegation scrap that could go right down to the wire. Forest’s struggles are linked to managerial instability, with Ange Postecoglou failing to win in eight games before Sean Dyche became their third coach of the season.

Predicted Bottom Six:
15. Nottingham Forest – 42 pts
16. Leeds United – 39 pts
17. Sunderland – 39 pts
18. West Ham – 38 pts
19. Wolves – 36 pts
20. Burnley – 32 pts

Mid-Table and Bottom Half

Everton entered the campaign full of optimism after new ownership, a stadium move, and the marquee signing of Jack Grealish. Yet a predicted 12th-place finish will disappoint supporters, even if performances have been encouraging despite defeats to Liverpool, Leeds, and Man City.

Aston Villa are set for an 11th-place finish as financial restrictions continue to hamper Unai Emery’s progress. Fulham, predicted to finish 14th, remain stuck in mid-table, while Brentford (13th) enter a rebuilding phase following the departures of Thomas Frank, Bryan Mbeumo, and Yoane Wissa.

Predicted 11th–14th:
11. Aston Villa – 49 pts
12. Everton – 48 pts
13. Brentford – 47 pts
14. Fulham – 45 pts

Top Half

Brighton are expected to slip to 10th despite promising new arrivals and a bright young coach in Fabian Hurzeler. Crystal Palace’s recent success under Oliver Glasner — including FA Cup and Community Shield triumphs — should see them secure ninth, narrowly missing out on Europe.

Tottenham’s recovery under new leadership could see them climb to eighth, a marked improvement from last season’s 17th, while Bournemouth are backed to secure a shock seventh-place finish and Europa Conference League football. Newcastle United remain consistent, predicted to take sixth despite losing Alexander Isak to Liverpool.

Manchester United, rejuvenated under Ruben Amorim, are expected to leap ten places to fifth following a long-awaited win at Anfield.

Predicted 5th–10th:
5. Manchester United – 61 pts
6. Newcastle United – 58 pts
7. Bournemouth – 57 pts
8. Tottenham – 57 pts
9. Crystal Palace – 55 pts
10. Brighton – 54 pts

Top Four

Chelsea are forecast to finish fourth and secure Champions League qualification under Todd Boehly’s revamped project, although they remain a long way off the title pace. Manchester City are tipped to come third for a second consecutive season, led by another strong scoring run from Erling Haaland.

Liverpool’s big-money summer — which included record-breaking deals for Florian Wirtz and Alexander Isak — is predicted to fall short of defending their title. Arsenal, meanwhile, are finally expected to break their 20-year title drought, edging Liverpool by five points thanks to their defensive solidity and clinical new additions like Viktor Gyökeres and Eberechi Eze.

Predicted Top Four:

1. Arsenal – 82 pts

2. Liverpool – 77 pts

3. Manchester City – 73 pts

4. Chelsea – 65 pts